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Input controls in an overfished scenario do not have a significant impact

Taking a more pessimistic view of current conditions in Mindoro, if we assume that fish stocks are already being overfished, then input controls alone will not have any impact for many decades.

Unlike what we saw in the non-overfished scenarios, the threat to stocks is no longer coming from new fishers attracted by raising profits. Instead, it is driven by the fact that fishers stay longer hours at sea in an effort to compensate for falling catches and the loss of their livelihoods.

Limiting the number of fishing permits does not work in this scenario because no new fishers are interested in joining in. Establishing a quota would be the logical way to reduce fishing and bring stocks back up. However, this has a negative impact on those fishers who are unable to find other sources of income.

Try limiting the number of fishing boats, then the total catch





In the presence of overfishing, fish stocks are collapsing

Establishing fishing permits has no effect.

Establishing strict quotas may lead to fish stock recovery, but it is a double-edged sword

Total catch plummets due to diminishing stocks

Total catch plummets due to diminishing stocks

Total catch will recover eventually

Vulnerable fisher incomes are below-subsistence, and falling

Vulnerable fisher incomes are below-subsistence, and falling

But fishers lives are made even worse in the short term, and it takes decades to recover

Cultural fishers are unable to find alternative sources of income and continue to fish in spite of their losses

Cultural fishers are unable to find alternative sources of income and continue to fish in spite of their losses

Cultural fishers are unable to find alternative sources of income and continue to fish in spite of their losses