Near and medium term outcomes for the Mindoro fishery
Short and medium term outcomes for the Mindoro fishery
According to the data sources we used1, the Mindoro yellowfin tuna fishery is not currently overfished. Municipal fishers are able to cover their living costs, the product of their catch is highly prized by consumers worldwide, and commercial fishers are excluded from the coastal waters fished by municipal fishers.
The baseline scenario below reflects the best of our knowledge in this fishery. Compare these results to our pessimistic scenario2 where we show what will happen if current conditions are worse than the scenario below.
The following are some of the assumptions reflected here:
- Increasing consumer demand We expect that global demand for high grade tuna fish is going to keep growing over the years. There will be both an increase in the global demand for food products and a growth of the middle class, which has a preference for carnivorous fish over other species.
- Open access for municipal fishers New fishers can come from other regions and other industries and join in the fishery. No input controls are in place.
- No commercial fishing growth expected Due to regulations protecting municipal fishers, commercial fleets are currently limited in number and excluded from coastal waters.
- No technological improvements Even though fishers use traditional methods, some technological improvements could make their boats more efficient. Such effects are not reflected below. They are reflected where we at technology improvement interventions3.